The Price 
of War
Hot, Cold, Digital:
The Three Theatres
of War

5 December 2024

One Great George Street, London, UK


Symposium Schedule


08:15
Registration
09:00
Opening Remarks from:

Marie Chatardová, Embassy of the Czech Republic in London | Susan Walton, CERGE-EI Foundation | Burkhard Dallosch, CERGE-EI Foundation

09:15
Keynote Address: Setting the Stage

Martin Wolf, Financial Times

09:45
Panel 1 - The Shift in Power: Europe, from West to East - the rise of Poland; NATO expansion; a new Iron Curtain?

Moderated by Justin Webb, BBC

This panel will discuss shifting power dynamics in Europe, delving into the Rise of Poland as a regional and international economic power, the NATO Baltic Expansion, and is there a new Iron Curtain being drawn?

Peter Frankopan, University of Oxford | Martin Wolf, Financial Times | Anna Rosenberg, Amundi Asset Management | Jadwiga Emilewicz, Former Deputy Prime Minister of Poland

10:35
Panel 2 - A Crisis Exported: Impacts from the Middle East - Iran and its proxies; US, Russian, and Chinese influence.

Moderated by Justin Webb, BBC

Focusing on the volatile alliances and power shifts in the Middle East, this panel will assess how external forces such as the US, Russia, and China influence the region’s geopolitics, with particular attention to the role of Iran and the future of the Abraham Accords.

Simon Tobelem, Realis | Gerard Russell, Former British Diplomat | Catherine Perez-Shakdam, Forum for Foreign Relations | Richard Spencer, The Times

11:20
Coffee Break
11:45
Panel 3 - Investing During Conflict: Pricing Risk and Access to Liquidity - access to and quality of capital; de-risking.

Moderated by Raul Alonso, Goldman Sachs

This panel will delve into the complexities of investing during a time of conflict, discussing how investors assess and price risk in an environment of often illegitimate and fragmented information, how IFI’s, institutional and private capital can de-risk investment and improve the quality of capital and access to liquidity.

Jock Mendoza-Wilson, System Capital Management | Douglas Smith, Orchard Global | Crispin Ellison, Oliver Wyman | Konstantyn Chyzhyk, Hillmont Partners

12:45
Invite Only Investing Breakout: Dual Use Technologies: Cyber, AI, and Drones - migration of technologies; public- private sector collaboration.

This invitation-only discussion will address the migration of civilian technologies into defense and mil-tech applications. The panel will also discuss the risks and rewards of emerging technologies in defense markets, debating how governments and businesses can cooperate to enhance resilience against asymmetric attacks.

12:45
Lunch
13:25
CERGE-EI Founders Forum

Introductory Remarks: Tony Claudino, CERGE-EI Foundation

Jan Švejnar, CERGE-EI, Columbia University | Beata Javorcik, EBRD | Pavel Dvorak, EBRD

14:00
Panel 4 - The Future Theatres of War - New strategic domains: Cyber, AI and Celestial Space.

Moderated by Justin Webb, BBC

This panel will debate the future frontiers of war, from the increasing occurrence of AI in conflict and the civil threats posed in an era of disinformation, to the use of celestial assets in national securitization and the rising importance of Space as the new battleground for dominance. With countries in Asia and Africa occupying a critical part in Russian and Chinese grand strategy, finding ways to navigate these new strategic domains will be a key component of this panel’s discussion.

Ole Jann, CERGE-EI | Rebecca Nadin, ODI Global | Gabriel Elefteriu, Council on Geostrategy | Mike Miller, Virginia Tech Applied Research Corporation

14:50
Panel 5 - Eurasia and the Corridors; Supply Chain, Critical Minerals and Energy Transition

Moderated by Richard Spencer, The Times

Western sanctions on Russia and limited access to the Iran route have made the Middle Corridor the primary land route across Eurasia. This panel will discuss how the route's stability and viability are challenged by EU-China trade tensions, regional disputes, and dependency on external powers.

Ravshan Usmanov, Embassy of Uzbekistan | Gül Berna Özcan, Royal Holloway | Ali Serim, Author

15:30
Coffee Break
15:50
Panel 6 - US Election 2024: Impact and Outcomes

Moderated by Justin Webb, BBC

This discussion will cover how the outcome of the 2024 US election will influence foreign policy, particularly regarding conflict zones like Ukraine and the Middle East, and what the implications might be for global markets and security alliances.

Joshua Huminski, Center for the Study of the Presidency and Congress | Jennifer Ewing, The Centre for Digital Assets and Democracy | James Sproule, Handelsbanken | Edward Lucas, Center for European Policy Analysis

16:30
Keynote Address: General David Petraeus, KKR

In conversation with Clara Kaluderovic, Mental Help Global

17:10
Concluding Remarks

Tony Claudino, CERGE-EI Foundation | Susan Walton, CERGE-EI Foundation